PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
3.3% 77.5%-1.0ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1698,9 €
Liquidität
10.348 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
+28.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
31. Juli 26, 23:4326. Aug. 26, 13:30
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 36,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 64.433,1 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 106.408,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.506,1 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 45.642,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6944,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6510,9 €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Core PCE YoY - July 2026?
- Polymarket bewertet 3.3% mit 77% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Core PCE YoY - July 2026 entschieden?
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026 soll am 26. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Core PCE YoY - July 2026 abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.