PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2.4% 34.7%+2.5ptFührend unter 10 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
299,2 €
Liquidität
7644,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 15:30 UTC15. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 128,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 95.826,9 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.973,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.325,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6108 €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Core CPI YoY - September 2026?
- Polymarket bewertet 2.4% mit 35% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Core CPI YoY - September 2026 entschieden?
- Core CPI YoY - September 2026 soll am 15. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Core CPI YoY - September 2026 abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Wo wird Core CPI YoY - September 2026 außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.