Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
0.9% to 1.0% 37%+8.5ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
59 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2540,8 €
Liquidität
1975,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
9. Sept. 26, 20:32 UTC14. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
China Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketSeptember Inflation US - Annual
PolymarketSeptember Inflation US - Monthly
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.8% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.4% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.6% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExRegeln
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
- This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 128,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 95.826,9 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.973,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.325,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6108 €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für September Inflation China - Annual?
- Polymarket bewertet 0.9% to 1.0% mit 37% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird September Inflation China - Annual entschieden?
- September Inflation China - Annual soll am 14. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird September Inflation China - Annual abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.