KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 4.7% 90%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1381,4 €
Liquidität
1381,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
49.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 27 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 16:15 UTC15. Okt. 26, 12:29 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
South Korea exports YoY for September
KalshiSouth Korea exports YoY for September
LimitlessHow high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
KalshiWill the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Trading Economics
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt79.4%
- No change-16.0pt19.6%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 105,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+16.0pt86%
- September Meeting+19.0pt82%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt87.1%
- No-5.0pt12.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 117.002,3 €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.5pt47.4%
- 2 (50 bps)31.6%
- 0 (0 bps)-9.0pt10.5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause-16.0pt18%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Cut–Pause–Pause-0.8pt0%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will CPI get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - August 2026
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für PPI YoY in September?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 4.7% mit 90% (Stand: 11. September 2026).
- Wann wird PPI YoY in September entschieden?
- PPI YoY in September soll am 15. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird PPI YoY in September abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.