PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2.4% 36.8%+1.5ptFührend unter 10 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
522,5 €
Liquidität
9732,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
12. Aug. 26, 14:1711. Sept. 26, 3:59
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 36,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 64.433,1 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 106.408,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.506,1 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 45.642,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6944,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6510,9 €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Core CPI YoY - August 2026?
- Polymarket bewertet 2.4% mit 37% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Core CPI YoY - August 2026 entschieden?
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026 soll am 11. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Core CPI YoY - August 2026 abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Wo wird Core CPI YoY - August 2026 außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.