PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
0.2% 37.9%+2.5ptFührend unter 7 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
205,9 €
Liquidität
3999 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
11. Sept. 26, 15:29 UTC15. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiPPI MoM in September
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore CPI YoY - September 2026
PolymarketWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 3% in September 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? · Exactly 0.3% 91%
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 128,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 95.826,9 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.973,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40.325,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6108 €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- Polymarket bewertet 0.2% mit 38% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Core CPI MoM - September 2026 entschieden?
- Core CPI MoM - September 2026 soll am 15. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Core CPI MoM - September 2026 abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Wo wird Core CPI MoM - September 2026 außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.