Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Under 67%+0.5pt
Marktqualitat
38 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1956,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
20.0% / 46.0%
Spread
26.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+2.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 18:20 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or Grüne?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurBerlin State Election: 3rd Place
KalshiBerlin state election winner?
KalshiRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if Grüne wins at least 17% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if Grüne wins less than 17% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%??
- Polymarket bewertet Under mit 67% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.