Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
CDU 27%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
24 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
1761,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
16.0% / 26.0%
Spread
62.5%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
17. Mai 26, 14:0020. Sept. 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
CDU27%
Plattformen vergleichen· CDU
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt70% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 27% | 0pt | 9627,2 € | 351.358,5 € | vor 10 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Smarkets70% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | Niedrig | 26% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | vorgestern | Öffnen → |
 KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 27% | 0pt | 0 € | 1761,1 € | vor 10 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Berlin State Election Winner
2.4%1Mon
-0.5%33%
27%
+2.4%24%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen2,7 Mio. €
24h-Volumen9627,2 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Smarkets
Berlin State Election Winner
Geschlossen
32.8%
25.6%
17.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen0,9 €
24h-Volumen0 €
SMARKETSRegeln
If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.4k81.9%POLYMARKETWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Noflawfencevor 10 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Noflawfencevor 10 TagenVolumentrend
$63. Juli18T Daten26. Juli
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If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.