Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
CDU 30%+1.0%Führend unter 24 Optionen
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
4173,2 €
Liquidität
203.301,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
29.0% / 30.0%
Spread
3.5%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+2.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
2. Dez. 25, 11:4820. Sept. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
CDU30%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Berlin State Election
1J
32%
20%
2%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
24 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen8,9 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
- This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
- This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.