KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
AfD 27%-5.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
30,7 €
Liquidität
949,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
24. Aug. 26, 21:00 UTC20. Sept. 27, 16:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If CDU finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- The party awarded the 3rd-highest number of Abgeordnetenhaus seats in the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin's final certified seat allocation resolves YES.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Politics
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- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
- Kalshi bewertet AfD mit 27% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: 3rd Place entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place soll am 20. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: 3rd Place abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If CDU finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Berlin state election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Berlin State Election: 3rd Place außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.