Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
AfD 29.5%-3.0ptFührend unter 8 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
75 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
1449,2 €
Liquidität
61.399,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 01:15 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketVictoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
KalshiRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSwedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
KalshiRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 111,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 184,2 Mio. €
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KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 523.099,1 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,6 Mio. €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: 3rd Place?
- Polymarket bewertet AfD mit 29% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: 3rd Place entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: 3rd Place abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Wo wird Berlin State Election: 3rd Place außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.