Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Party A 50%Führend unter 24 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3413,7 €
Liquidität
78.378,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
30.0% / 33.0%
Spread
10.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+4.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 1:1520. Sept. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Party A50%
Volumentrend
$3.9k8. Juli20T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Next French Presidential Election
98.103,7 €Marine Le Pen: 31%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will win the second Clacton by-election from now?
219,5 €Reform UK: 64.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be the next leader of the Labour Party after Andy Burnham?
170,4 €Angela Rayner: 9.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election?
87,8 €Ja: 74.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK snap election announced?
50,1 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
0 €Ja: 5%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTITIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.