Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
14-17% 44.2%-2.0ptFührend unter 4 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
75 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
3782,8 €
Liquidität
28.906,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 18:21 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Offene Märkte
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share??
- Polymarket bewertet 14-17% mit 44% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share? entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share? soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: Grüne Vote Share? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.