Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
CDU 75.3%+7.5pt
Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
12,7 €
Liquidität
1725 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
67.0% / 84.0%
Spread
17.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-2.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 18:17 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or SPD?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
Manifold MarketsIf Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and Grüne receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne??
- Polymarket bewertet CDU mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.