Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 60.8%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet11. Feb. 26, 11:09 UTC24. März 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes?
Manifold MarketsWill any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
KalshiWill a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
PolymarketWill any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?
KalshiIf asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
Manifold MarketsWill the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW party intends to call Germany's Federal Constinutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) after the party very narrowly missed out on reaching the necessary 5% of votes in the last election to get seats in the federal parliament.
- What will be the outcome with regards to a recount?
- If the court rules that BSW gets parliament seats without a recount, or something similar, this still resolves "No".
- The question only refers to the court's ruling in terms of a recount.
- (So whether that recount ends up happening is also irrelevant)
- See this other market for the outcome of a recount if it ends up taking place: https://manifold.markets/ADings/if-germanys-2025-election-votes-are