Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Linke 67.3%-2.5pt
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
47,4 €
Liquidität
2791,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
26.0% / 39.0%
Spread
13.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-15.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 18:16 UTC20. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or SPD?
PolymarketBerlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSaxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent
KalshiWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “CDU” if CDU wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Linke in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Linke” if Linke wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than CDU in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both CDU and Linke receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Gesamtvolumen
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- Gesamtvolumen
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- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke??
- Polymarket bewertet Linke mit 67% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? entschieden?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? soll am 20. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.