Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
0.5% - 0.6% 37.5%+0.5ptFührend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
296,2 €
Liquidität
2780,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
-8.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
11. Aug. 26, 4:549. Sept. 26, 23:59
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
- This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 36,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 64.433,1 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 106.408,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.506,1 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 45.642,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6944,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6510,9 €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für August Inflation China - Annual?
- Polymarket bewertet 0.5% - 0.6% mit 38% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird August Inflation China - Annual entschieden?
- August Inflation China - Annual soll am 9. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird August Inflation China - Annual abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.