Aktuelle Community-Prognose
AMI goes public by Dec 31, 2030, through IPO, SPAC, RTO, or any other mechanism on any exchange 59.8%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet10. März 26, 20:36 UTC10. März 27, 20:36 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Yann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Tracks Yann LeCun's AMI Labs after $1.03B seed raise at $3.5B valuation and CEO Alex LeBrun hire, focusing on world-model AI progress vs. LLM dominance.
- AI-managed market.
- The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.
- /add-option — suggest a new prop.
- AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.
- /clarify-resolution — ask what an option means and how it resolves.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 132.799,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.316,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 322.392,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Yann LeCun's AMI (props)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet AMI goes public by Dec 31, 2030, through IPO, SPAC, RTO, or any other mechanism on any exchange mit 60% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Yann LeCun's AMI (props) entschieden?
- Yann LeCun's AMI (props) soll am 10. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Yann LeCun's AMI (props) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Tracks Yann LeCun's AMI Labs after $1.03B seed raise at $3.5B valuation and CEO Alex LeBrun hire, focusing on world-model AI progress vs. LLM dominance.