Werden wir bis 2027 erfahren, dass Maduros Sturz ein interner Putsch mit US-Unterstützung war?
US-PolitikOne-OffGeopolitikLateinamerika2Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 84.8%
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 22 Stunden
Veraltet4. Jan. 26, 11:56 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible evidence emerges by December 31, 2026 that Maduro's removal from power on January 3, 2026 was orchestrated as an internal coup with direct US military assistance, rather than a unilateral US military operation.
- Resolution requires documented evidence that Venezuelan military or government officials coordinated with the US to remove Maduro, or that the operation was planned and executed jointly with internal Venezuelan actors.
- Resolution sources may include: declassified government documents, congressional testimony, investigative journalism from major outlets, memoirs or statements from key Venezuelan or US officials, or court filings.
- The market creator will determine resolution based on the preponderance of available evidence.
- The question hinges on distinguishing between a unilateral US military operation and a coordinated internal coup.
