Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89%
Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
5. Jan. 26, 16:29 UTC31. Dez. 26, 16:29 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela continue submissive to american demands in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US strike Mexico by ?
FutuurWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Venezuela (through its government, military, or state-affiliated actors) takes any direct military, cyber, or armed action against U.S. targets, personnel, or interests in response to the January 2026 U.S. strikes.
- This includes attacks on U.S. military assets, diplomatic facilities, or U.S. citizens abroad.
- The action must occur within 12 months of January 3, 2026,.
- On January 3, 2026, the United States military attacked Venezuela, capturing sitting Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores.
- The attack, codenamed Absolute Resolve, began around 02:00 a.m. local time when explosions were observed.
