Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland?
PolitikGeopolitikOne-OffUS Politics2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 69.4%
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet18. Jan. 26, 11:47 UTC20. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if Trump deploys U.S. military forces to Greenland without Danish/Greenlandic consent in an attempt to establish control over any portion of its territory, AND leaves office before January 20, 2029 via:
- Impeachment and Senate conviction, OR
- Resolves NO if he deploys such forces and completes his term (or leaves due to e.g. death or incapacitation)
- Resolves N/A if no unauthorized military deployment to Greenland occurs.
- Update 2026-01-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Removal via military coup or other non-constitutional means would resolve NO.
- The market specifically tracks removal through constitutional accountability (impeachment/conviction) or political pressure (resignation) only.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 69% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland? entschieden?
- Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump be removed or resign from office if he uses military force against Greenland? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if Trump deploys U.S. military forces to Greenland without Danish/Greenlandic consent in an attempt to establish control over any portion of its territory, AND leaves office before January 20, 2029 via: