KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 38%+5.0%
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
32.733,9 €
Liquidität
164.178 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
2.7%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
21. Dez. 24, 15:003. Nov. 26, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes38%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 31% | -7pt | 40.715,9 € | 93.529,4 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Hoch | 62% | +24pt | 32.733,9 € | 164.178 € | vor 4 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 71% | +33pt | — | — | vor 1 Minute | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
15.0%5Mon
+0.1%69%
-0.1%31%
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen202.443,4 €
24h-Volumen40.715,9 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
5Mon
29.2%
70.8%
Community-Prognose139 PrognostikerTyp: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If Mitch McConnell resigns their office, or announces they will resign their office, before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Leaving office due to death will not resolve the market to Yes, and the market will remain open.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$37.4k2. Juli8T Daten9. Juli
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If Mitch McConnell resigns their office, or announces they will resign their office, before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Leaving office due to death will not resolve the market to Yes, and the market will remain open.