Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
25.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS Politics5Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 54%-0.3%
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
43.039,5 €
Liquidität
42.123,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
53.0% / 55.0%
Spread
3.8%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-14.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
17. Okt. 25, 21:263. Jan. 27, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes54%
CoinRithm-Referenz33%· 2 Plattformen· ±21 Pkt.
JaNeinMANIFOLD MARKETS
JaNein
KALSHI
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?
6Mon
70%
30%
Community-Prognose118 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen9725,8 €
24h-Volumen155,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
7.0%3Mon
-7.0%33%
67%
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen378.834,7 €
24h-Volumen65.555,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S.
- Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S.
- Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term.
- Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.
- The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S.