If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
One-OffUS-PolitikPolitikWahl2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 82.3%
Nein 82.3%Prognostiker
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Veraltet24. Jan. 24, 04:35 UTC8. Nov. 28, 06:32 UTC
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Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
Manifold MarketsIf elected, will Trump willingly leave power once his term is up?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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In Ben Shapiro and Destiny's debate, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5I6A2cukme8 Ben Shapiro claim that there is 0% chance that Trump would try to run for a third term US president, while Destiny claim that there's 100% chance that Trump would try to run for a third term.
- Who is right?
- I use a rather broad definition of 'attempt' here.
- Resolves to 'Yes' if there is any attempt by Trump to run for a third term as president.
- This includes public statements, fundraising efforts, or other indications suggesting he is considering a run for a third term.
- Resolves NA if Trump did not become president in 2024
