If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 51.7%
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Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election
- Update 2025-09-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Constitutional eligibility will be assessed on election day, rather than at state filing deadlines.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 52% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? entschieden?
- If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? soll am 9. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves N/A if he does not become constitutionally eligible for a third term by the filing deadlines in states that comprise ≥270 EVs for the 2028 election