Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 68.5%
Prognostiker
35
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juli 23, 08:16 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if, before 1st Jan 2027, there is a volcanic explosion of 5 or larger on the Volcanic Explosivity Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_explosivity_index anywhere on Earth.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 69% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027? entschieden?
- Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if, before 1st Jan 2027, there is a volcanic explosion of 5 or larger on the Volcanic Explosivity Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_explosivity_index anywhere on Earth.