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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet22. Mai 26, 14:18 UTC1. Feb. 28, 00:00 UTC
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Will "The paper that killed deep learning theory" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Maybe I was too harsh on deep learning theory..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "The state of AI safety in four fake graphs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Help me launch Obsolete: a book aimed at buil..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post theory uplift differentially benefits safety & is underleveraged is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Offene Märkte
AI
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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+4 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Claude+3.6pt62%
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+5 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will "theory uplift differentially benefits safety ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will "theory uplift differentially benefits safety ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? entschieden?
- Will "theory uplift differentially benefits safety ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? soll am 1. Februar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will "theory uplift differentially benefits safety ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.