Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 71.1%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Stunden
Veraltet21. Apr. 23, 19:48 UTC31. Dez. 50, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
This question will resolve as YES if the United Nations reports that the world's population has exceeded 10 billion people on or before December 31, 2050.
- Otherwise, it will resolve as NO.
- The reported population must be based on reliable and verifiable data sources, and not estimates or projections.
- The UN must provide an official announcement or report on the matter.
- The question does not take into account any potential events or disasters that could significantly impact global population numbers, such as pandemics, natural disasters, or major conflicts.
- It is solely based on the reported population number by the UN.
