Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet14. Juli 23, 23:38 UTC1. Jan. 00, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be the first woman to set foot on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following countries will the next astronaut to set foot on the moon represent?
Manifold MarketsWhen will humans set foot on the moon again?
Manifold MarketsNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiRegeln
If both women and non-women take the next step at the same time, resolves to the fraction of women among them.
- If for some reason it is not clear whether a woman was first, resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission.
- Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:
- Only count individuals who actually set foot on the lunar surface.
- Crew members who remain inside a landed vehicle and do not exit are not counted.
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 85.315,7 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 153.550,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 39.161,6 €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 409.901,9 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 54% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman? entschieden?
- Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman? soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If both women and non-women take the next step at the same time, resolves to the fraction of women among them.