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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet19. Mai 23, 17:36 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What year will the IMO grand challenge be completed?
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Manifold MarketsAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegeln
This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed before the end of 2030 according to the rules on the site https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/ according to the IMO Grand Challenge committee.
- This requires an AI to generate machine-checkable proof of enough problems on one of the of the IMOs in 2023-2030 for a gold medal (there are more rules on the website).
- This resolves NO if this has not happened at the start of 2031.
- It will also resolve NO if a few weeks after the IMO in 2030 there is nobody claiming that the IMO grand challenge has been solved.
- This resolves N/A if the IMO grand challenge is either canceled or abandoned (e.g. there is a serious claim that the challenge is completed and nobody of the committee comments on the submission for multiple months).
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the IMO grand challenge be completed before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the IMO grand challenge be completed before the end of 2030? entschieden?
- Will the IMO grand challenge be completed before the end of 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the IMO grand challenge be completed before the end of 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed before the end of 2030 according to the rules on the site https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/ according to the IMO Grand Challenge committee.