Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 82.9% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? entschieden?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: BASELINE (2025 leader): The current leader as of Aug 2025 appears to be GPT-4.5 with ~90.2% on MMLU, with Claude 4 and Gemini 2.5 Pro at ~85-86%

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.5pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.6pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

3,2 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

136.528,6 €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+0.5pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.5pt19.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt18.3%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.5pt56.5%
• Gemini-4.4pt30.4%
• ChatGPT+0.1pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+9.0pt82%
• December 31,+5.5pt82%
• November 30,-4.0pt61%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt56.8%
• Google-6.0pt34.7%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.3%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

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