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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet26. März 24, 16:52 UTC2. Jan. 40, 04:59 UTC
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What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Supergirl (2026) make back its budget + 50 million dollars?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegeln
If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.
- Must still be alive.
- Market open until it happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above99%
- $74,250 or above99%
- $73,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 685.146,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 680.918,8 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- 65-89+50.5pt56.4%
- 40-64-6.6pt41.6%
- 90-114+1.6pt2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 303.691,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 298.844,5 €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.4pt13.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.4pt12%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.7pt12%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt24.5%
- 200-219+10.0pt24.5%
- 220-239+7.0pt15.7%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $66,000 or above98%
- $67,000 or above98%
- $65,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 452.589,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 142.964,8 €
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Where will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $77,736.55 target
- ETH price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 71% (Stand: 14. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? entschieden?
- Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? soll am 2. Januar 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.