Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 71%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet26. März 24, 16:52 UTC2. Jan. 40, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be the first person to walk on Mars before December 31st, 2039
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets🧑🚀 What will be true about the first person(s) to walk on a planet other than Mars and Earth? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.
- Must still be alive.
- Market open until it happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person