Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognosesafely returns to Earth 93.9%Führend unter 35 Optionen
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Veraltet7. Apr. 24, 05:06 UTC31. Dez. 39, 15:59 UTC
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🧑🚀 What will be true about the first person(s) to walk on a planet other than Mars and Earth? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first person to walk on Mars before December 31st, 2039
Manifold MarketsWill the next person to walk on the moon be American?
Manifold MarketsNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?
KalshiRegeln
All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.
- Add your own.
- Should be easily verified (ie nothing like "they love pineapple on pizza").
- Intention is "what will be the properties of Neil Armstrong 2.0".
- In general, all items are taken to be "as publicly known, at the time of the landing".
- So if the astronaut is trans but stealth and this has somehow not come up, it would resolve 'NO' for 'the named outcome'.
