Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66.4%
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20
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
8. Apr. 25, 19:41 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will open-source AI remain at least one year behind proprietary AI? (ACX, AI 2027 #4)
Manifold MarketsWill a SotA AI model be trained to think in "neuralese" instead of human language by the end of 2030? (ACX, AI 2027 #5)
Manifold MarketsWill there be geopolitical instability over fears of other countries reaching superintelligence? (ACX, AI 2027 #2)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a software-only singularity? (ACX, AI 2027 #3)
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Prediction #1 from:
- My Takeaways From AI 2027 - by Scott Alexander
