Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
KIOne-Off3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 80.7%
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Veraltet17. März 25, 23:31 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?
- Resolves based on my personal judgement, in particular whether it is cost- and time-effective for ZeroPath to use it to replace one of our engineers (or accomplish the same amount with fewer people).
- Example tasks it should be capable of:
- "Fix this error we're getting on BetterStack."
- "Move our Redis cache from DigitalOcean to AWS."
- "Add and implement a cancellation feature for ZeroPath scans."
Offene Märkte
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+3 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 132.799,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.316,6 €
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- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- 322.392,1 €
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- 1500+-1.0pt30%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 81% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? entschieden?
- Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?