Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026?
Trade PolicyOne-OffLatin AmericaEurope3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96.8%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet31. Dez. 25, 06:04 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
KalshiWill the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
KalshiWhich countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill the Trump administration sign a bilateral agreement to acquire land in Greenland by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
A trade deal between the EU and Mercosur (Paraguay, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, & Uruguay) under negotiation for ~25 years and rejected in 2019 has been agreed.
- Will the deal, or something substantially similar, be ratified by all parties (not necessarily entered into force) by the end of 2026?
- https://www.reuters.com/world/eu-mercosur-set-finalise-contentious-trade-deal-2024-12-06/
- https://www.dw.com/en/eu-delays-signing-mercosur-free-trade-deal-again/a-75237389
- ITA ratification will resolve YES.
- Previous (2025) market: https://manifold.markets/table8473/will-the-eumercosur-free-trade-agre
Offene Märkte
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156%
- October 31+0.5pt31.2%
- September 30+4.0pt12.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 106.544,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6412,7 €
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 13.785 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4690,2 €
KALSHIWhat will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
- Fold / Folding / Foldable+10.0pt88%
- Ultra+5.0pt87%
- Apple Intelligence83%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22.738,7 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+10.0pt34%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25.265,1 €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-7.0pt70%
- No30%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1784,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 683,1 €
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A trade deal between the EU and Mercosur (Paraguay, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, & Uruguay) under negotiation for ~25 years and rejected in 2019 has been agreed.