Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 32.3%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet10. Nov. 23, 20:20 UTC17. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Background information here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom%E2%80%93United_States_free_trade_agreement
- Market resolves according to the date the agreement is effective, not the date it is signed.
- I'm expecting that if the agreement ever gets signed, the above page will look a bit more like this one: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia%E2%80%93United_Kingdom_Free_Trade_Agreement, in which case I will take the date next to the "effective" field.
- If the UK and the US enter into a multilateral FTA that includes other countries, that triggers resolution.
- If the UK and US enter into a trade agreement that falls short of an FTA, that does not trigger resolution.
- Free trade agreements have a pretty universal definition so I don't anticipate any complications in resolution.
