Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 77.7%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet21. Juli 23, 14:46 UTC1. Jan. 50, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Doomsday Clock be between 76-83 seconds to Midnight in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Will the Doomsday Clock that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's publish regularly be at or above 15 minutes to midnight, for any time before 01.01.2050? If the change happens at midnight it will also count.
- If the clock shows a higher time because of some error it doesn't count.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.3pt97%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 998.627,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 667.474,9 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt36%
- September 309%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 257.684,2 €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt22%
- October 31+2.5pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt3%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt96%
- September 25+4.0pt88%
- September 23+7.5pt74%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 78% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050? entschieden?
- Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050? soll am 1. Januar 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will the Doomsday Clock that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's publish regularly be at or above 15 minutes to midnight, for any time before 01.01.2050? If the change happens at midnight it will also count.