Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026?
HandelspolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikLateinamerika2Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 10:29 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.9%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet17. Juli 26, 04:14 UTC1. Jan. 27, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the U.S. lower its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU adopt a ban on Israeli settlement goods?
KalshiWill Brazilian presidential election second round be annulled?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWill the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market is about the U.S. 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil announced in July 2026 under Section 301.
- CNBC described the tariff as taking effect on July 22, 2026, with exemptions for some goods such as beef, orange juice, aircraft and parts, and energy products.
- Resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. has officially ended, suspended, or reduced this 25% Section 301 tariff so that it no longer applies to most Brazilian goods.
- Resolves NO if, on December 31, 2026, the 25% tariff is still in effect for most Brazilian goods.
- Small product-specific exemptions do not count unless the tariff is broadly removed, suspended, or reduced for most Brazilian goods.
