Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 97.7%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet20. Sept. 26, 22:29 UTC30. Apr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Bulgaria Presidential Election
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PolymarketWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
PolymarketFrench Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
PolymarketLaurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if any candidate in the 2027 French presidential election (or a snap presidential election, if one is triggered earlier) wins an absolute majority of the votes cast (more than 50%) in the first round, thereby winning the presidency outright without the need for a runoff.
- This market will resolve to NO if no candidate secures more than 50% of the cast votes in the first round, resulting in a second-round runoff between the top two candidates.
- Sources of Truth:
- Official election data published by the French Ministry of the Interior (Ministère de l'Intérieur): https://www.resultats-elections.interieur.gouv.fr/
- Official proclamations by the Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel): https://www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr/