KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Below 38.6% (99%)
Entschieden: 21.10.2026, 17:30
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 21.10.2026, 16:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
38.6%1%
Below 38.6%99%
38.7%1%
38.8%8%
Above 39.2%2%
38.9%13%
39.2%3%
39.0%6%
39.1%2%
Below 38.6%Gewonnen
38.6%Verloren
38.7%Verloren
38.8%Verloren
Above 39.2%Verloren
38.9%Verloren
39.2%Verloren
39.0%Verloren
39.1%Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Below 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.7%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.8%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 39.2%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is above 39.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.9%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.2%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 39.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.