Before Nov 1, 2026
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Nein · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Nein 83%
Nein 83%Marktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1012,3 €
Open Interest
1387 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
NeinSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
19. Okt. 26, 15:50 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Nein
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by which date?
PolymarketDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiAndy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
Abwicklung über:Ministère de l'IntérieurPrésidence de la RépubliqueThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe Journal officiel de la République françaiseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A resignation offer counts only if its acceptance, or Laurent Nuñez's statement that he is leaving regardless, is announced before Nov 1, 2026; the Oct 18, 2026 offer that President Macron declined on Oct 19 does not count unless its acceptance is announced before then. A collective resignation of the government does not count while he continues to serve, including for current affairs. His departure counts once it is announced that he will not continue as Interior Minister, including a move to another ministry. A statement that he will stay until the government formed after the 2027 presidential election, including that he will not serve in that government, does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- No
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
- Yes
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.