KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2028 45%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12,9 €
Liquidität
22.602,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
20. Juli 26, 23:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWho will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will Andy Burnham meet in person in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Andy BurnhamThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2028 mit 45% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? entschieden?
- Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.