KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2028 43%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2028 43%Marktqualitat
54 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
294,3 €
Open Interest
26.691,7 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
20. Juli 26, 23:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Sep 1, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2028
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
KalshiWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiJohn Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiRegeln
If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Andy BurnhamThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPrime Minister's Office, 10 Downing StreetCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.