Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.3%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 34 Minuten
16. Dez. 25, 06:04 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Stoke Space propulsively land and refly a second stage?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship fly in space with a human on board?
Manifold MarketsBy when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever set foot on Mars?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Stoke Space successfully launches a rocket to space (reaching at least 100 km altitude) by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official confirmation from Stoke Space, FAA records, or credible space industry sources.
- The market resolves NO if no spaceflight is achieved by the deadline.
- Stoke Space Technologies is an American space launch company based in Kent, Washington, founded by former Blue Origin and SpaceX employees.
- Nova is a fully reusable medium-lift launch vehicle with an expected payload capacity of 3 tons to low Earth orbit, with the first stage performing a return-to-launch-site landing.
