Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore 2030 61.1%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-9.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet30. März 24, 14:21 UTC1. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship fly intercontinental by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Stoke Space fly to space before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
The market will resolve positively as soon a live human either successfully launches on a SpaceX Starship to space, or enters a Starship while in space (anywhere more than 100 km from Earth surface).
- It will still count if the Starship fails in some way, as long as it happens after it has reached space.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
- Similar question about launch and landing:
- @/OlegEterevsky/when-will-starship-first-launch-or
- My other questions about Starship milestones: