Wird Starship die Erdumlaufbahn vor dem Blue Origin Lunar Lander erreichen?
RegulierungSpaceYearlyTechnik3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 90.1%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet1. März 26, 02:57 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketWill Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Resolution will require the vehicle to reach a nominal orbit all other mission goals will not apply to the resolution criteria.
- Starship has never reached orbit; instead, SpaceX has followed a suborbital trajectory for the 10 integrated flight tests conducted to date.
- Blue Moon Pathfinder Mission 1 is a planned robotic lunar landing mission to be operated by Blue Origin, set to launch no earlier than early 2026.
- The Blue Moon lander is to be capable of conducting crewed lunar landings lasting up to 30 days, pending an uncrewed demonstration flight scheduled for 2027.
- Considerations
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Wird Starship die Erdumlaufbahn vor dem Blue Origin Lunar Lander erreichen??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 90% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Wird Starship die Erdumlaufbahn vor dem Blue Origin Lunar Lander erreichen? entschieden?
- Wird Starship die Erdumlaufbahn vor dem Blue Origin Lunar Lander erreichen? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Wird Starship die Erdumlaufbahn vor dem Blue Origin Lunar Lander erreichen? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria