KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 95%+1.0ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
439,6 €
Liquidität
487.845,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
6. Aug. 26, 21:15 UTC1. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Clarity Act will pass in September
Manifold MarketsHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWill Mitch McConnell cast a Senate vote by Sept. 30?
PredictItRegeln
If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes
- The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote
- For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? · Before Jan 1, 2027 96%
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 180.513,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 105.114,9 €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 95% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? entschieden?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless gelistet.