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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet16. Mai 24, 00:47 UTC1. Jan. 32, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Sam Altman leave open AI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman leave open AI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsConditional on a global pause before strong AGI, how long in total will there be a pause on frontier training?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Strong AGI as defined by the official Manifold market: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
- If he steps down as CEO but remains on the board or another role, this question will remain open.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 59% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization? entschieden?
- Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization? soll am 1. Januar 2032 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Strong AGI as defined by the official Manifold market: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708