Will Republicans win the 2026 midterms election?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 202620T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 15.10.2026, 18:01 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert7. Okt. 26, 18:48 UTC4. Nov. 26, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
2026 Midterms Election Weirdness
Manifold MarketsWill a Republican House or Senate Candidate say Donald Trump should run for a third term before Midterms Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWhat will really exactly happen in the 2026 midterms election?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party wins and/or retains a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the November 3, 2026 midterm elections.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Democratic Party wins a majority of seats in either the House of Representatives, the Senate, or both.
- Specific Resolution Rules:
- U.S. House of Representatives: A party is deemed to control the House if they win at least 218 of the 435 voting seats.
- U.S. Senate: A party is deemed to control the Senate if they secure at least 51 seats, or 50 seats if they hold the tie-breaking vote of the Vice President (the Republican Vice President holds the tie-breaker for the upcoming 120th Congress).