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Veraltet7. Nov. 22, 04:39 UTC31. Dez. 35, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
They must be able to get married in that state, not just have their marriage recognized from elsewhere.
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+5.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+5.0pt57%
- Ken Paxton-4.0pt43%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 623.821,2 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88%
- Republican Party12%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 615.345,3 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+4.0pt58.4%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.7%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt10.9%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Scott Jennings+2.0pt19.6%
- Anna Kelly-2.0pt16.1%
- Maria Bartiromo-14.0pt6.3%
+43 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Florida Governor winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? entschieden?
- Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? soll am 31. Dezember 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: They must be able to get married in that state, not just have their marriage recognized from elsewhere.