Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (98.4%)
Entschieden: 07.10.2026, 19:38
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 08.10.2026, 09:36 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes1.6%
No98.4%
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OpenAI shipped 'Spud' in late April 2026.
- Whether Spud was branded as GPT-5.5 or GPT-6 has been the subject of intense debate.
- This market asks specifically about a public release of a model carrying the GPT-6 name.
- RESOLVES YES if, on or before 23:59 UTC August 31, 2026, OpenAI publicly releases ANY model officially named 'GPT-6' or 'gpt-6' (any suffix variant: turbo, mini, o, etc.) — meaning the model is available to at least one of: ChatGPT Plus/Team/Enterprise subscribers, the Responses API, or Chat Completions API.
- RESOLVES NO if no model named GPT-6 is publicly released by the deadline.
- A model named 'GPT-5.5' or any other non-6 designation does NOT count, even if its capabilities equal GPT-6 expectations.
